First understand why the business is losing money
A temporary disruption, investment in a new product and a persistently unprofitable operating model are different situations. Break the result into revenue, gross margin, staffing, overheads and other material costs. Compare the explanation with records rather than relying on the label “growth investment”.
Review whether the losses continue after supported adjustments and realistic owner remuneration. A business that appears profitable only after removing costs necessary to maintain sales has not demonstrated sustainable earnings. Cash consumption and the ability to fund the next stage also need attention.
Choose an approach that fits the evidence
A forecast needs more than a rising revenue line
Consider the practical steps needed to reach the forecast: customers won, retention, prices, capacity, staffing, capital expenditure and working capital. Check whether the business can deliver higher sales without also increasing costs. Forecast growth that ignores those requirements can overstate future cash flows.
A hypothetical company expecting to become profitable in two years may need additional funding before then. That funding requirement is part of the economic picture; future profit is not available today without cost or risk. Scenario analysis can help show the consequences of delayed sales or lower margins without presenting any scenario as certain.
Assets and liabilities still need a careful perimeter
Equipment, stock, intellectual property or customer relationships may have value, but recorded cost is not automatically realisable value. Ownership, condition, transferability and obligations associated with those assets need examination. An operating-business assumption may differ substantially from an orderly disposal assumption.
Where the business cannot meet obligations or its continued operation is in doubt, specialised insolvency, legal and accounting advice may be necessary. A general valuation engagement does not replace that work. Explain the circumstances at the scoping stage so the limitations and appropriate specialists can be identified.
- Prepare actual cash-flow information alongside profit figures.
- Separate contracted revenue from sales pipeline.
- Document funding commitments and outstanding obligations.
- Show the assumptions required to reach break-even.
Apply it to your matter
A clear scope is the next step.
Discuss the business, purpose, valuation date and intended user with Jackson Wilson. Valuation Group is based in Double Bay and takes enquiries from Sydney and Australia-wide.
General educational information. Examples are hypothetical and do not value a real business. The appropriate treatment depends on the purpose, evidence and agreed scope.
